Crunching the Numbers Part 1 - The Wisdom of Crowds

First of all, an explanation -

We here at AI HQ decided to take all 78 of your entries to figure out, on average, what the group thinks the rankings should be. Assigning a number from 1 to 12 for each of your top 12 (and the number 13 for the 4 people each of you left off your list), we came up with this:

1. David A. - average score 2.10
2. Carly - 3.42
3. Michael - 5.18
4. David C. - 5.26
5. Brooke - 5.94
6. Syesha - 6.90
7. Jason - 7.40
8. Ramiele - 7.56
9. David H. - 9.12
10. Amanda - 9.53
11. Asia'h - 9.58
12. Kristy Lee - 10.64

That is the average score for your top 12 as a group. Clearly David A. is the big front runner, while the wisdom of your crowd thinks Jason and Ramiele are pretty interchangeable as are David H., Amanda, and already-booted Asia'h.

What if the 78 of you wanted to submit a single entry to me this season? That entry would be rejected by yours truly since it has 7 girls and 5 guys. The lowest rated girl, Kristy Lee, would have to get the boot for the next highest rated guy. That happens to be Danny with an average score of 11.01 (FYI - then Chikezie was 14th with an average rating of 11.37, then Kady with 12.47, and finally Luke with a 12.53).


So, the average top-12 list for all 78 of you with 6 guys and 6 girls would look like this:
1. David A.
2. Carly
3. Michael
4. David C.
5. Brooke
6. Syesha
7. Jason
8. Ramiele
9. David H.
10. Amanda
11. Asia'h
12. Danny

I went back and looked over all of your entries to see who came the closest to this entry. No one hit it exactly. This is the closest entry I could find:
1. David A.
2. Carly
3. Michael
4. David C.
5. Brooke
6. Syesha
7. Jason
8. Asia'h
9. David H.
10. Ramiele
11. Amanda
12. Danny

Not too shabby, right?
- 1 to 7 are exactly the same, as are numbers 9 and 12.
- The group says Ramiele at 8, Amanda at 10, and Asia'h at 11 and this entry says Asia'h at 8, Ramiele at 10, and Amanada at 11.


Want to know who it is who came so close to having an entry so close to the wisdom of your crowd?

Who could be so observant to accurately summarize the thoughts of a group of Americans as someone who is removed from America and can observe it remotely and without bias? That's right, our group's Alexis de Tocqueville is none other than Aneesha Baig, our contestant in India!!!

Congrats Aneesha. If the 78 entries on average turn out to be right, you're going to be in really good shape this American Idol season.

Standings after Week 1

Week 1 Side Pool winners Stephanie and Stephen Hall pictured above.

Tie-1. Amy Larsen-Pond - 12 points (max 364)
Tie-1. Amy York - 12 points (max 364)
Tie-1. Brian - 12 points (max 364)
Tie-1. Cathleen - 12 points (max 364)
Tie-1. Julie R. - 12 points (max 364)
Tie-1. Kristin - 12 points (max 364)
Tie-1. Meredith - 12 points (max 364)
Tie-1. Stephanie - 12 points (max 364) - Co-winner of the Week 1 Side Pool
Tie-1. Stephen - 12 points (max 364) - Co-winner of the Week 1 Side Pool
Tie-1. Team O'Brien - 12 points (max 364)

Tie-11. Lisa B. - 11 points (max 363)
Tie-11. Mandy - 11 points (max 363)
Tie-11. Matty - 11 points (max 363)
Tie-11. Stacie - 11 points (max 363)
Tie-11. Suzy M. - 11 points (max 363)

Tie-16. Cindy - 11 points (max 361)
Tie-16. Jenn S. - 11 points (max 361)

18. Jane - 11 points (max 358)

Tie-19. Jennie L. - 11 points (max 354)
Tie-19. Karen - 11 points (max 354)
Tie-19. Lisa S. - 11 points (max 354)
Tie-19. Marcia - 11 points (max 354)
Tie-19. Missy - 11 points (max 354)
Tie-19. Ryan - 11 points (max 354)

Tie-25. Dave L. - 11 points (max 349)
Tie-25. Jaime - 11 points (max 349)
Tie-25. Kara - 11 points (max 349)
Tie-25. Liz - 11 points (max 349)
Tie-25. Matt - 11 points (max 349)

Tie-30. Corona - 11 points (max 343)
Tie-30. Dina - 11 points (max 343)
Tie-30. Don - 11 points (max 343)

33. Michael W. - 11 points (max 328)

34. Paul F. - 11 points (max 309)

Tie-35. Jan W. - 10 points (max 357)
Tie-35. Yvonne - 10 points (max 357)

Tie-37. Anh - 10 points (max 355)
Tie-37. Julie H. - 10 points (max 355)
Tie-37. Marybeth & Lucy - 10 points (max 355)

Tie-40. Katy L. - 10 points (max 353)
Tie-40. Suzanne - 10 points (max 353)

Tie-42. Jenny M. - 10 points (max 351)
Tie-42. Kendra - 10 points (max 351)

Tie-44. Alieda - 10 points (max 348)
Tie-44. Andy - 10 points (max 348)
Tie-44. Aneesha - 10 points (max 348)
Tie-44. Cristina - 10 points (max 348)
Tie-44. Kathryn - 10 points (max 348)
Tie-44. Katie K. - 10 points (max 348)
Tie-44. Scott - 10 points (max 348)
Tie-44. Team 'Tini - 10 points (max 348)

52. Will B. - 10 points (max 346)

Tie-53. Jan M. - 10 points (max 343)
Tie-53. Michelle - 10 points (max 343)

55. Jill - 10 points (max 342)

Tie-56. Brooke - 10 points (max 340)
Tie-56. Damian - 10 points (max 340)
Tie-56. Jean Claude - 10 points (max 340)
Tie-56. Rich - 10 points (max 340)
Tie-56. Team Ringey - 10 points (max 340)

61. Jon - 10 points (max 337)

Tie-62. Melissa - 10 points (max 335)
Tie-62. Paul P. - 10 points (max 335)

64. Emily - 10 points (max 330)

65. Lance - 10 points (max 322)

66. Denis - 10 points (max 318)

67. Julie K. - 10 points (max 307)

68. Judy - 10 points (max 295)

69. Neisha - 10 points (max 276)

70. Sean - 9 points (max 342)

71. Mike L. - 9 points (max 339)

72. Dave S. - 9 points (max 338)

73. Peter - 9 points (max 332)

74. Mike & Suzy - 9 points (max 270)

75. Chris F. - 9 points (max 267)

76. Julie W. - 8 points (max 326)

77. Will A. - 8 points (max 321)

78. Mark - 8 points (max 211)

Talk about who makes the cut to the top 12 here

Let's hope Asia'h's pants didn't make the cut to the top 12. Those pants were horrible last night.

Talk all things concerning the cut from 16 to 12 here.

Talk about the top 16 here

This won't come to a shock to you unless you've been hiding under a rock today and have been trying to NOT learn what's new in American Idol news - turns out that David Hernandez used to work at a "themed" bar or two as an "exotic performer".

CNN has i-reporters. The American Idol Pool has i-Idolers. Thanks to Brian, Mandy, Darby, Corona (caution possibly not safe for work), and Kathryn for sending in links about this story. Click on any of their names for the link they sent in about this.

If you'd like to talk about that or anything else about the top 16 this week, please post away below!